265+ open-source signals from satellites, shipping records, transit systems, and energy grids. Anticipate official releases. Challenge the numbers. Detect what governments report late, revise quietly, or get wrong.
GDP arrives quarterly, 30 days late. Manufacturing surveys take weeks. Employment numbers get revised for months. In many emerging economies, the data barely exists at all. Physical-world signals close that gap.
Each theme fuses multiple physical-world sources into a single interpretable signal. Not raw data. Economic intelligence.
Real-time industrial activity from electricity consumption, rail freight, air quality sensors, and nighttime satellite imagery. Leads ISM Manufacturing PMI by 3 to 5 weeks.
End-to-end freight pressure from port vessel traffic through rail carloadings to last-mile trucking. Detects bottlenecks before they hit prices.
Retail health from satellite parking lot occupancy, subway turnstile counts, and foot traffic patterns. Leads official retail sales data by 2 to 4 weeks.
Construction velocity and real estate momentum from building permits, satellite soil disturbance detection, and lumber market signals.
Business travel recovery, tourism activity, and labor market momentum from flight tracking, transit data, and job posting velocity.
Agricultural commodity indices, emerging market activity trackers, political risk composites, and city-level momentum rankings are being built and backtested now.
265 real-time economic signals across 12 countries, updated daily. Full open-source data, free to explore. Subscribe for proprietary insights and alerts.
Open signals show the economy in real time. Our algorithms go further: they anticipate what official numbers will say before release, and flag when those numbers do not match reality. Subscribe to get alerted when we detect an opportunity.
Our algorithm cross-references alternative signals against every official release, scores each divergence for statistical confidence, and tracks whether the government quietly revises toward our data. A credibility score for every economic statistic.
Our discovery engine systematically tests thousands of signal combinations against historical releases. When it finds composites that reliably lead NFP, CPI, PMI, or GDP by weeks, it generates a prediction. Backtested. Walk-forward validated.
Every insight we publish passes through a rigorous pipeline. No gut feelings. No cherry-picked charts.
Walk-forward backtesting across multiple holdout windows. Only signals that survive out-of-sample validation get published.
Granger causality, information coefficients, directional hit rates, and regime detection. Six distinct testing methods per signal pair.
Machine learning processes 265+ signals across 600,000+ test combinations. What would take a research team months runs in hours.
Our confidence scoring system, geographic matching engine, and composite index architecture are proprietary. Open data, proprietary analysis.
All open-source signals are free to explore. Premium subscribers get proprietary confidence scores, filtered insights, and real-time alerts.
Full access to all open-source signals and raw data. Community dashboard. No account required.
Proprietary confidence scores, filtered high-conviction insights, divergence alerts, and API access for your own models.
White-label API, bespoke signal development, weekly written intelligence, dedicated analyst support. Built for institutions.
In 1954, an economist uncovered a nuclear secret using nothing but stock prices. In 2010, Ghana revised its GDP upward by 60% overnight. Official numbers are not always what they seem. We use the same methods that researchers have relied on for decades: proxy signals from the physical world.
Read the full story →Alt Signal Intelligence is an open-source intelligence platform for the economy. Based in Hong Kong. Built for hedge funds, macro traders, corporate strategy teams, journalists, and researchers. We provide economic intelligence and divergence indicators sourced from open data.